Iraq could ‘descend into civil war’
Iraq could ‘descend into civil war’
By Demetri Sevastopulo in Washington
Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2006
Published: August 3 2006 16:39 | Last updated: August 4 2006 00:30
Iraq could descend into civil war if the recent surge in violence in Baghdad is not stopped, two senior US generals said on Thursday.
“The sectarian violence is probably as bad as I’ve seen it,” General John Abizaid, head of US Central Command, which oversees the Iraq war, told the Senate armed services committee. “If not stopped, it is possible Iraq could move toward civil war.”
Gen Abizaid’s comments came in response to a question about a leaked memo from William Patey, the outgoing British ambassador to Iraq, which warned that civil war was a more likely outcome in Iraq than the emergence of a stable democracy.
Mr Patey’s memo to the prime minister and cabinet, which was leaked to the BBC, added: “Even the lowered expectation of President [George W.] Bush for Iraq – a government that can sustain itself, defend itself and govern itself and is an ally in the war on terror – must remain in doubt.”
Gen Abizaid’s remarks prompted John Warner, the committee’s influential Republican chairman, to suggest that Congress might have to re-examine the authority it gave the president to wage war in Iraq.
“I think we have to examine very carefully what Congress authorised the president to do in the context of a situation if we’re faced with an all-out civil war and whether we have to come back to the Congress to get further indication of support,” Mr Warner said.
General Peter Pace – the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, who was testifying alongside Gen Abizaid and Donald Rumsfeld, the defence secretary – agreed that Iraq could descend into civil war, though he said that outcome was not “probable.” But under questioning from John McCain, the Republican senator and likely presidential contender, he conceded that a year ago he would not have considered even the possibility of civil war.
Some Republican senators joined Democrats in questioning whether the US military had expected a year ago that violence would be at the current levels, with an estimated daily death toll of a hundred in Baghdad.
The acknowledgments of increasing violence in Iraq come as the US military has had to delay the departure of some troops to bolster counter-insurgency efforts in Baghdad.
Gen Abizaid appeared to play down suggestions last month by General George Casey, the top US commander in Iraq, that significant troop cuts could still be possible this year. Gen Abizaid said “some reductions in forces” were still possible, but would depend on the situation in Baghdad. Mr McCain, who has often criticised Mr Rumsfeld for not sending more troops, said he was concerned that the military was employing a strategy of “whack-a-mole” by redeploying troops from areas that are not under control to other violent areas.
“Its very disturbing,” said Mr McCain. “If it’s all up to the Iraqi military, General Abizaid … then I wonder why we have to move troops into Baghdad to intervene in what is clearly sectarian violence.”
Hillary Clinton, the New York Democrat, lambasted Mr Rumsfeld for what she said was his mishandling of the war.
By Demetri Sevastopulo in Washington
Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2006
Published: August 3 2006 16:39 | Last updated: August 4 2006 00:30
Iraq could descend into civil war if the recent surge in violence in Baghdad is not stopped, two senior US generals said on Thursday.
“The sectarian violence is probably as bad as I’ve seen it,” General John Abizaid, head of US Central Command, which oversees the Iraq war, told the Senate armed services committee. “If not stopped, it is possible Iraq could move toward civil war.”
Gen Abizaid’s comments came in response to a question about a leaked memo from William Patey, the outgoing British ambassador to Iraq, which warned that civil war was a more likely outcome in Iraq than the emergence of a stable democracy.
Mr Patey’s memo to the prime minister and cabinet, which was leaked to the BBC, added: “Even the lowered expectation of President [George W.] Bush for Iraq – a government that can sustain itself, defend itself and govern itself and is an ally in the war on terror – must remain in doubt.”
Gen Abizaid’s remarks prompted John Warner, the committee’s influential Republican chairman, to suggest that Congress might have to re-examine the authority it gave the president to wage war in Iraq.
“I think we have to examine very carefully what Congress authorised the president to do in the context of a situation if we’re faced with an all-out civil war and whether we have to come back to the Congress to get further indication of support,” Mr Warner said.
General Peter Pace – the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, who was testifying alongside Gen Abizaid and Donald Rumsfeld, the defence secretary – agreed that Iraq could descend into civil war, though he said that outcome was not “probable.” But under questioning from John McCain, the Republican senator and likely presidential contender, he conceded that a year ago he would not have considered even the possibility of civil war.
Some Republican senators joined Democrats in questioning whether the US military had expected a year ago that violence would be at the current levels, with an estimated daily death toll of a hundred in Baghdad.
The acknowledgments of increasing violence in Iraq come as the US military has had to delay the departure of some troops to bolster counter-insurgency efforts in Baghdad.
Gen Abizaid appeared to play down suggestions last month by General George Casey, the top US commander in Iraq, that significant troop cuts could still be possible this year. Gen Abizaid said “some reductions in forces” were still possible, but would depend on the situation in Baghdad. Mr McCain, who has often criticised Mr Rumsfeld for not sending more troops, said he was concerned that the military was employing a strategy of “whack-a-mole” by redeploying troops from areas that are not under control to other violent areas.
“Its very disturbing,” said Mr McCain. “If it’s all up to the Iraqi military, General Abizaid … then I wonder why we have to move troops into Baghdad to intervene in what is clearly sectarian violence.”
Hillary Clinton, the New York Democrat, lambasted Mr Rumsfeld for what she said was his mishandling of the war.
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